Between A Rock And A Hard Place…

The fun­da­men­tal ques­tion which faces the Jamaican elec­torate this time like almost every oth­er elec­tion cycle is whether to go with the Long term mar­ket dri­ven strat­e­gy offered by the Jamaica labor Party .
Or whether to stay with the People’s National Party’s which offers small pork-bar­rel solu­tions which are great at vote get­ting but has dis­as­trous con­se­quences for the econ­o­my in the long run.

Prime Minister Portia Simpson Miller..

Opposition Leader Andrew Holness..
Opposition Leader Andrew Holness..

Leading up to the elec­tions of 2011 there was no IMF agree­ment in place, the Labor Party refused to accept a deal which would break the back of the aver­age Jamaican. Agreeing to a deal would see mon­ey com­ing into the coun­try but with dev­as­tat­ing con­se­quences to work­ing people.
There is no ques­tion as to what might have occurred had the JLP signed a deal the IMF pre­sent­ed to Audley Shaw and company.
We have seen the con­se­quences. ♦ Massive depre­ci­a­tion of the local cur­ren­cy ♦ Massive Price Increases♦ Shortages and cut-backs of goods and ser­vices in the pub­lic sec­tor♦ and Lay-offs♦
Those are just a few of the direct con­se­quences of accept­ing IMF mon­ey. Of course there are the indi­rect con­se­quences as well ♦ Escalating crime ♦ dete­ri­o­rat­ing infra­struc­ture and a gen­er­al sense of malaise, unease and mis­ery among the population.

It’s impor­tant that Andrew Holness and the JLP tell the Jamaican peo­ple whether the par­ty will con­tin­ue with the IMF agree­ment and nego­ti­ate a new agree­ment in the near future if the par­ty is elect­ed to office.
The JLP must also explain where the fund­ing will come from to pro­vide Government ser­vices and main­tain the Island’s oblig­a­tions as it relates to debt ser­vic­ing, if it choos­es not to enter into an agree­ment with the fund.

Speaking to the Nation in a live broad­cast, Opposition Leader Andrew Holness out­lined a 10 point plan which he argues will grow the econ­o­my and pro­vide real jobs.
SEE PLAN HEREHolness offers 10-point plan for growth and job creation

Here’s the rub however.
The Opposition leader him­self stat­ed that the rea­son the Prime Minister set elec­tions for February 25th of this year is to off­set the neg­a­tive effects of the upcom­ing bud­get. I believe there is much truth to that but more than that is the lit­tle issue of recent polling data which we are told has the gov­ern­ing par­ty with a 4 per­cent­age point lead over it’s rival JLP.
A poten­tial JLP Administration invari­ably will have to deal with the fall­out which emanate from the next bud­getary dic­tates of the IMF which are sure to have neg­a­tive con­se­quences for the aver­age Jamaican.
Holness and the JLP will poten­tial­ly have to lay off work­ers and cut ser­vices as the PNP will also be forced to do. A new PNP Administration will not have to fear a back­lash from lay­offs, and ser­vice cut-backs. A new man­date insu­lates the par­ty from that . They will also have five years in which to cur­ry favor with the voters.
Not so for an incom­ing JLP Administration which will imme­di­ate­ly be pil­lo­ried and labelled “heart­less” for lay­ing off strug­gling work­ers as soon as it acquires office.
Can’t win for losing.….….….….….…..

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